11.04.2012

CNN poll: Romney 50% - 49% Obama in Florida

(CNN) - With eight days to the day of elections, a new poll shows a close race with 29 electoral votes of Florida. According to CNN International / ORC released Monday, 50% of likely voters in the Sunshine State say they support the Republican candidate Mitt Romney, with 49% support of President Barack Obama. The margin of the former Massachusetts governor point sampling error in both surveys. - View Map Calculator and CNN electoral game and its own strategy for November. "The result does not change the range of a point of Romney in mid-October, all candidates except for having a percentage point and the number of voters who really have not decided away to almost nothing," says the director of surveys CNN's Keating Holland. The survey showed that there was a small pool of voters were persuaded, often called "uncommitted voters" in the electoral cycle. "Sweeping five percent of likely voters say Florida is really in doubt or have a preference, but it does not really make a decision that are voting rests the fate of the Sunshine State -. And maybe the national results as well, "adds Holland. According to the survey, the gender gap opened again in Florida, with 55% of people who support Romney and 54% of women supported Obama. And revenue generation gap also appears, with Obama doing better among young and low-income voters hold Romney among those aged 50 years and among those earning more than $ 50,000 per year. President George W. Bush won Florida in 2004 was re-elected, but Obama closely captured the state in 2008, his victory over Senator. John McCain. This cycle is taking Florida tonne attention again during elections, candidates made frequent visits to the Sunshine State. Romney held three meetings in the state on Saturday. Schedule president to lead a rally Monday in Orlando, but returned to Washington, DC to follow federal emergency preparedness for Hurricane Sandy. Obama's campaign and Romney spent money for get-out-vote-effort state television and commercial management. Both presidential campaigns, party committees and the super PACs and other independent groups supporting the candidates, had been bombed more than $ 130 million to run ads on television in Florida since April 10, the beginning not official general election. That's according to data provided to the customer by the Campaign Media Analysis Group (CMAG), which follows the campaign. Political junkies think minor parties nominating Ralph Nader in 2000 is widely credited with getting enough votes from Al Gore to George W. Bush eventually claim the state. Being able to go again this year? Hard to say, but it is interesting to note that when the three minor candidates of the party are included in a racehorse question separately, 50% -49% margin Romney will be 48% -48% tie, libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein claim percentage each candidate and Party Constitution Virgil Goode came with less than half of one percent. "Statistically, there was no difference between 50% and 49% and 48%-to-48%, but it illustrates the potential impact of the party's candidates in minor-race is very close," said Holland, who also warned that "Natural predict elections near -. and elections by one percentage point separating the two candidates even more difficult, if not impossible, to predict " A CNN poll conducted by ORC International, October 25 to 28 (completely after the final presidential debate), with 1,010 adults, including 914 registered voters and 770 likely voters questioned by telephone. The sampling error of the survey likely voters is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

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